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Above average rainfall expected for large parts of Victoria over spring

The Australian Seasonal Bushfire Outlook for Spring, released on Wednesday 24 August, shows parts of the Dandenong Ranges and Yarra Ranges are expected to have a reduced risk of fire over spring.

According to the report, the rainfall across Victoria’s Eastern and northeast ranges over the past 12 months in conjunction with an above-average rainfall outlook “suggests a below average fire danger outlook in these areas.”

“Some recent drying is evident across the eastern ranges but is expected to be offset by an above average rainfall expected in spring,” the report said.

“Burnt areas from the 2018-19 and 2019-20 seasons are included as part of the below normal assessment in eastern Victoria.”

On a map in the report showing the areas where below-average fire risks are expected, the Dandenong Ranges and Yarra Valley are included.

The Outlook for spring, which covers September to November, is developed by the Australiasian Fire and Emergency Service Authorities Council, state fire services and the Bureau of Meteorology.

Victoria SES Chief Officer Tim Wiebusch said with a wetter than average spring predicted for most of the state this year, “now is the time to prepare”.

Victorians should never be complacent when planning and preparing for the risk of fire and severe weather,” he said.

“Get ready before the rain falls. We know this spring is expected to be wetter than average, and that early preparation is the best defence against storms.”

He said if you ever come across flood water, it is vital you never enter it.

“It can take just 15cm of water for a small car to float or lose traction, it may be the last decision you ever make,” Mr Wiebusch said.

”VICSES will continue to work closely with the emergency services sector to ensure the safety of Victorian communities, beyond the upcoming spring season.”

Forest Fire Management Victoria Chief Fire Officer Chris Hardman said the state is one of the most bushfire-prone areas in the world and even an outlook for an average fire season must be taken seriously.

“Forest Fire Management Victoria is working with all emergency sector partners to manage bushfire risk, prepare communities and plan rapid response to bushfires,” he said.

“We take every opportunity to manage bushfire risk 365 days a year, with different tools and methods, so we are well prepared for the bushfire season.”

More information and the full report can be read at afac.com.au/auxiliary/publications/newsletter/article/seasonal-bushfire-outlook-spring-2022

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